Skip to content

Eliteserien · Matchweek 12

Kristiansund

KRI

KFUM

KFU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kristiansund33%
Draw30%
KFUM37%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.21

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.3%
  • 0111.8%
  • 0011.1%
  • 1011.0%
  • 127.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

41%Possession41%
35%Territory38%
8%From set plays7%
0.08Chance quality0.13
7.7%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kristiansund, 3 for KFUM. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.