Eliteserien · Matchweek 12
Bodø/Glimt
BOD
Vålerenga
VLE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bodø/Glimt77%
Draw15%
Vålerenga8%
Expected goals
2.64 – 0.80
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.5%
- 3–09.7%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vålerenga get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession53%
56%Territory47%
9%From set plays33%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bodø/Glimt, 3 for Vålerenga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bodø/Glimt
Vålerenga
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.