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Eliteserien · Matchweek 12

Lillestrøm

LIL

Brann

BRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lillestrøm31%
Draw26%
Brann43%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.59

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 129.0%
  • 018.9%
  • 217.5%
  • 107.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brann will have the ball; Lillestrøm will not mind.

44%Possession63%
33%Territory54%
32%From set plays34%
0.13Chance quality0.08
7.5%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lillestrøm, 3 for Brann. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Brann

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.