Eliteserien · Matchweek 12
Viking
VIK
Tromsø
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viking62%
Draw23%
Tromsø16%
Expected goals
1.87 – 0.86
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession52%
43%Territory36%
41%From set plays30%
0.15Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viking, 3 for Tromsø. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Viking
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.