Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 38
Cruzeiro
CRU
Internacional
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cruzeiro62%
Draw19%
Internacional19%
Expected goals
2.53 – 1.44
Over 2.5
75%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.3%
- 1–17.1%
- 2–06.2%
- 2–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cruzeiro will have the ball; Internacional will not mind.
56%Possession36%
47%Territory41%
6%From set plays20%
0.14Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cruzeiro, 3 for Internacional. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.