Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 38
RB Bragantino
RBB
Fluminense
FLU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Bragantino37%
Draw24%
Fluminense39%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.79
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
69%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.5%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.2%
- 0–15.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fluminense will have the ball; RB Bragantino will not mind.
45%Possession67%
45%Territory51%
10%From set plays19%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness2.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for RB Bragantino, 3 for Fluminense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.