Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 37
Vitória
VIT
Santos
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória33%
Draw25%
Santos42%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.71
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.6%
- 0–17.4%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession52%
29%Territory46%
68%From set plays8%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória, 3 for Santos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 329 matches, not the full season.