Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 37
Mirassol
MIR
Athletico Paranaense
ATH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mirassol40%
Draw26%
Athletico Paranaense33%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.38
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Athletico Paranaense will have the ball; Mirassol will not mind.
49%Possession57%
34%Territory48%
17%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.08
5.2%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mirassol, 4 for Athletico Paranaense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Mirassol
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Athletico Paranaense
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.