Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 37
Corinthians
COI
Grêmio
GRM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Corinthians52%
Draw24%
Grêmio24%
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.22
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Corinthians will have the ball; Grêmio will not mind.
54%Possession43%
52%Territory38%
8%From set plays50%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Corinthians, 3 for Grêmio. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Corinthians
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.