Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 37
São Paulo
SOP
Remo
REM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
São Paulo58%
Draw25%
Remo17%
Expected goals
1.69 – 0.83
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 2–011.2%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession46%
40%Territory40%
28%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.05
5.2%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for São Paulo, 3 for Remo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.