Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 37
Botafogo
BOT
Bahia
BAH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Botafogo54%
Draw23%
Bahia23%
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.24
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Botafogo will have the ball; Bahia will not mind.
57%Possession42%
44%Territory35%
22%From set plays38%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Botafogo, 3 for Bahia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 329 matches, not the full season.