Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 37
Fluminense
FLU
Cruzeiro
CRU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fluminense37%
Draw24%
Cruzeiro39%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.73
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fluminense will have the ball; Cruzeiro will not mind.
67%Possession56%
51%Territory47%
19%From set plays6%
0.12Chance quality0.14
2.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fluminense, 4 for Cruzeiro. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.