Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36
Athletico Paranaense
ATH
Remo
REM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Athletico Paranaense60%
Draw19%
Remo20%
Expected goals
2.48 – 1.45
Over 2.5
74%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.9%
- 1–17.3%
- 3–17.2%
- 2–26.3%
- 2–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession45%
40%Territory46%
30%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.3%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Athletico Paranaense, 3 for Remo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Athletico Paranaense
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.