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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36

Athletico Paranaense

ATH

Remo

REM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Athletico Paranaense54%
Draw27%
Remo19%

Expected goals

1.57 – 0.86

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.3%
  • 1–111.8%
  • 2–010.5%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Athletico Paranaense will have the ball; Remo will not mind.

57%Possession46%
48%Territory40%
28%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.05
3.8%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Athletico Paranaense, 3 for Remo. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.