Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36
Internacional
INT
Vitória
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Internacional49%
Draw25%
Vitória26%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.21
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória will have the ball; Internacional will not mind.
36%Possession48%
41%Territory29%
20%From set plays68%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Internacional, 3 for Vitória. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.