Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36
Internacional
INT
Vitória
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Internacional42%
Draw28%
Vitória30%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.19
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession37%
46%Territory43%
29%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Internacional, 3 for Vitória. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Internacional
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.