Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36
RB Bragantino
RBB
Vasco da Gama
VAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Bragantino46%
Draw23%
Vasco da Gama31%
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.68
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.9%
- 1–05.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vasco da Gama will have the ball; RB Bragantino will not mind.
45%Possession60%
45%Territory43%
10%From set plays14%
0.11Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for RB Bragantino, 3 for Vasco da Gama. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.