Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36
Palmeiras
PAL
Flamengo
FLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palmeiras38%
Draw26%
Flamengo37%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.53
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Flamengo will have the ball; Palmeiras will not mind.
48%Possession60%
42%Territory47%
7%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palmeiras, 3 for Flamengo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.