Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36
Palmeiras
PAL
Flamengo
FLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palmeiras29%
Draw29%
Flamengo42%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.37
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.7%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Palmeiras get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession62%
42%Territory51%
31%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.3%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palmeiras, 4 for Flamengo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.