Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36
Santos
SAN
Grêmio
GRM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santos49%
Draw21%
Grêmio29%
Expected goals
2.27 – 1.77
Over 2.5
75%
Both to score
75%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.1%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.1%
- 3–15.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Santos will have the ball; Grêmio will not mind.
52%Possession43%
46%Territory38%
8%From set plays50%
0.12Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santos, 3 for Grêmio. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.