Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36
Fluminense
FLU
Mirassol
MIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fluminense47%
Draw25%
Mirassol28%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.27
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mirassol get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession55%
34%Territory49%
17%From set plays37%
0.13Chance quality0.08
3.4%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fluminense, 4 for Mirassol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fluminense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.