Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 36
Fluminense
FLU
Mirassol
MIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fluminense52%
Draw24%
Mirassol24%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.25
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fluminense will have the ball; Mirassol will not mind.
67%Possession49%
51%Territory34%
19%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.08
2.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fluminense, 3 for Mirassol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Mirassol
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.