Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35
Remo
REM
Chapecoense
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Remo47%
Draw29%
Chapecoense25%
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.98
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession40%
40%Territory38%
18%From set plays24%
0.05Chance quality0.07
7.1%Directness8.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Remo, 4 for Chapecoense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.