Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35
Remo
REM
Chapecoense
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Remo34%
Draw24%
Chapecoense42%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.77
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession49%
46%Territory38%
31%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Remo, 3 for Chapecoense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chapecoense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.