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Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35

Vitória

VIT

RB Bragantino

RBB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Vitória48%
Draw26%
RB Bragantino26%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.14

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 1010.9%
  • 219.4%
  • 208.0%
  • 007.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

RB Bragantino will have the ball; Vitória will not mind.

37%Possession50%
43%Territory48%
32%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.07
9.1%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória, 3 for RB Bragantino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.