Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35
Vitória
VIT
RB Bragantino
RBB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória38%
Draw25%
RB Bragantino37%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.61
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession45%
29%Territory45%
68%From set plays10%
0.14Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória, 4 for RB Bragantino. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 329 matches, not the full season.