Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35
Coritiba
COR
Santos
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Coritiba36%
Draw23%
Santos41%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.90
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 0–15.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Santos will have the ball; Coritiba will not mind.
44%Possession52%
37%Territory46%
33%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Coritiba, 3 for Santos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 329 matches, not the full season.