Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35
Corinthians
COI
Botafogo
BOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Corinthians36%
Draw29%
Botafogo35%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.22
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–110.6%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Corinthians will have the ball; Botafogo will not mind.
53%Possession42%
44%Territory43%
15%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Corinthians, 4 for Botafogo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.