Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35
Corinthians
COI
Botafogo
BOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Corinthians47%
Draw28%
Botafogo26%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.05
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–012.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–09.0%
- 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession57%
52%Territory46%
8%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.07
5.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Corinthians, 4 for Botafogo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Corinthians
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.