Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35
São Paulo
SOP
Fluminense
FLU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
São Paulo47%
Draw27%
Fluminense26%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.09
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.2%
- 2–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
São Paulo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession50%
39%Territory34%
33%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.13
6.1%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for São Paulo, 3 for Fluminense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.