Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35
Vasco da Gama
VAS
Internacional
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vasco da Gama51%
Draw25%
Internacional25%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.21
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vasco da Gama will have the ball; Internacional will not mind.
50%Possession40%
54%Territory46%
17%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vasco da Gama, 3 for Internacional. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Internacional
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.