Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35
Vasco da Gama
VAS
Internacional
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vasco da Gama43%
Draw25%
Internacional32%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.50
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–27.4%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vasco da Gama will have the ball; Internacional will not mind.
60%Possession36%
43%Territory41%
14%From set plays20%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.1%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vasco da Gama, 3 for Internacional. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.