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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 35

Flamengo

FLA

Athletico Paranaense

ATH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Flamengo74%
Draw16%
Athletico Paranaense9%

Expected goals

2.51 – 0.83

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.3%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 3–09.1%
  • 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Flamengo will have the ball; Athletico Paranaense will not mind.

62%Possession42%
51%Territory40%
13%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.11
3.0%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Flamengo, 3 for Athletico Paranaense. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.