Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 34
Chapecoense
CHA
Mirassol
MIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chapecoense25%
Draw25%
Mirassol50%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.76
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–27.6%
- 2–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mirassol will have the ball; Chapecoense will not mind.
40%Possession49%
38%Territory34%
24%From set plays17%
0.07Chance quality0.08
8.8%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Chapecoense, 3 for Mirassol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chapecoense
Mirassol
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.