Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 34
Vitória
VIT
Fluminense
FLU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória30%
Draw28%
Fluminense42%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.41
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fluminense will have the ball; Vitória will not mind.
48%Possession67%
29%Territory51%
68%From set plays19%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness2.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória, 3 for Fluminense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 329 matches, not the full season.