Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 34
Vitória
VIT
Fluminense
FLU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória39%
Draw29%
Fluminense33%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.21
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fluminense will have the ball; Vitória will not mind.
37%Possession50%
43%Territory34%
32%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.13
9.1%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória, 3 for Fluminense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fluminense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.