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Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 34

Internacional

INT

Coritiba

COR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Internacional49%
Draw23%
Coritiba28%

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.52

Over 2.5

67%

Both to score

68%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 119.3%
  • 219.0%
  • 226.9%
  • 126.6%
  • 106.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Coritiba will have the ball; Internacional will not mind.

40%Possession49%
46%Territory34%
29%From set plays41%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.6%Directness8.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Internacional, 3 for Coritiba. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Internacional

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.