Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 34
Internacional
INT
Coritiba
COR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Internacional47%
Draw24%
Coritiba28%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.38
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Coritiba will have the ball; Internacional will not mind.
36%Possession44%
41%Territory36%
20%From set plays34%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Internacional, 4 for Coritiba. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.