Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 34
RB Bragantino
RBB
Santos
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Bragantino30%
Draw25%
Santos45%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.71
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.3%
- 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Santos get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession50%
48%Territory39%
16%From set plays37%
0.07Chance quality0.17
8.3%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Bragantino, 3 for Santos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
RB Bragantino
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.