Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 34
Palmeiras
PAL
Remo
REM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Palmeiras77%
Draw16%
Remo8%
Expected goals
2.40 – 0.66
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.7%
- 1–011.8%
- 3–010.6%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession46%
42%Territory40%
7%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.05
5.7%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palmeiras, 3 for Remo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 29 of 329 matches, not the full season.