Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 34
São Paulo
SOP
Corinthians
COI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
São Paulo51%
Draw27%
Corinthians22%
Expected goals
1.56 – 0.98
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–09.3%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Corinthians will have the ball; São Paulo will not mind.
44%Possession53%
39%Territory44%
33%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for São Paulo, 3 for Corinthians. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
São Paulo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.