Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 34
Flamengo
FLA
Grêmio
GRM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Flamengo75%
Draw15%
Grêmio10%
Expected goals
2.85 – 1.04
Over 2.5
74%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.7%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–18.3%
- 3–07.8%
- 1–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Flamengo will have the ball; Grêmio will not mind.
60%Possession43%
47%Territory38%
25%From set plays50%
0.12Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Flamengo, 3 for Grêmio. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 329 matches, not the full season.