Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 33
Remo
REM
Botafogo
BOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Remo31%
Draw25%
Botafogo45%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.77
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession42%
46%Territory43%
31%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.3%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Remo, 4 for Botafogo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.