Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 33
Coritiba
COR
Vitória
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Coritiba41%
Draw25%
Vitória35%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Coritiba will have the ball; Vitória will not mind.
49%Possession37%
34%Territory43%
41%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.11
8.2%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Coritiba, 3 for Vitória. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.