Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 33
RB Bragantino
RBB
Chapecoense
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Bragantino36%
Draw27%
Chapecoense37%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.43
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession49%
48%Territory38%
16%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.09
8.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Bragantino, 3 for Chapecoense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.