Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 33
Santos
SAN
Palmeiras
PAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santos28%
Draw26%
Palmeiras46%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.65
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–27.1%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Palmeiras will have the ball; Santos will not mind.
50%Possession59%
39%Territory42%
37%From set plays31%
0.17Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santos, 3 for Palmeiras. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Santos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.