Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 33
Vasco da Gama
VAS
Flamengo
FLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vasco da Gama18%
Draw23%
Flamengo58%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.89
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.1%
- 1–110.5%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–29.8%
- 0–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Flamengo will have the ball; Vasco da Gama will not mind.
50%Possession62%
54%Territory51%
17%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vasco da Gama, 4 for Flamengo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.