Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 32
Internacional
INT
Botafogo
BOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Internacional38%
Draw28%
Botafogo33%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.26
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession42%
46%Territory43%
29%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Internacional, 4 for Botafogo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Internacional
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.