Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 32
Cruzeiro
CRU
Remo
REM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cruzeiro60%
Draw19%
Remo21%
Expected goals
2.58 – 1.57
Over 2.5
77%
Both to score
74%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.4%
- 3–17.0%
- 1–16.7%
- 2–26.4%
- 3–25.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cruzeiro will have the ball; Remo will not mind.
54%Possession45%
41%Territory46%
24%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.09
3.7%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cruzeiro, 3 for Remo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.