Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 32
Mirassol
MIR
São Paulo
SOP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mirassol34%
Draw27%
São Paulo40%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.51
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mirassol will have the ball; São Paulo will not mind.
55%Possession44%
49%Territory39%
37%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mirassol, 3 for São Paulo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
São Paulo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.