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Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 32

Palmeiras

PAL

RB Bragantino

RBB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Palmeiras70%
Draw19%
RB Bragantino11%

Expected goals

2.26 – 0.84

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2011.6%
  • 1010.8%
  • 219.7%
  • 118.5%
  • 308.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Palmeiras will have the ball; RB Bragantino will not mind.

59%Possession50%
42%Territory48%
31%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.3%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Palmeiras, 3 for RB Bragantino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.