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Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 31

Remo

REM

RB Bragantino

RBB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Remo41%
Draw24%
RB Bragantino35%

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.67

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

69%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 119.7%
  • 218.4%
  • 127.7%
  • 227.1%
  • 106.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession50%
46%Territory48%
31%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.3%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Remo, 3 for RB Bragantino. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.