Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 31
Athletico Paranaense
ATH
Palmeiras
PAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Athletico Paranaense25%
Draw24%
Palmeiras51%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.82
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–27.5%
- 2–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Palmeiras will have the ball; Athletico Paranaense will not mind.
42%Possession59%
40%Territory42%
30%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Athletico Paranaense, 3 for Palmeiras. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Athletico Paranaense
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.