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Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 31

Mirassol

MIR

Internacional

INT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mirassol42%
Draw26%
Internacional32%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.39

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 218.9%
  • 108.5%
  • 127.6%
  • 017.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mirassol will have the ball; Internacional will not mind.

55%Possession40%
49%Territory46%
37%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mirassol, 3 for Internacional. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Internacional

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.