Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 31
Corinthians
COI
Vitória
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Corinthians39%
Draw29%
Vitória32%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.15
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Corinthians will have the ball; Vitória will not mind.
53%Possession37%
44%Territory43%
15%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Corinthians, 3 for Vitória. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.