Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 31
São Paulo
SOP
Vasco da Gama
VAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
São Paulo44%
Draw26%
Vasco da Gama30%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.28
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
São Paulo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession50%
39%Territory54%
33%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for São Paulo, 3 for Vasco da Gama. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
São Paulo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.