Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 31
Botafogo
BOT
Chapecoense
CHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Botafogo45%
Draw27%
Chapecoense28%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.16
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession49%
43%Territory38%
24%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Botafogo, 3 for Chapecoense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Chapecoense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.