Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 31
Fluminense
FLU
Santos
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fluminense38%
Draw27%
Santos35%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.43
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Santos get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession50%
34%Territory39%
17%From set plays37%
0.13Chance quality0.17
3.4%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fluminense, 3 for Santos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fluminense
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.