Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 30
Grêmio
GRM
Internacional
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Grêmio30%
Draw28%
Internacional42%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.40
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–09.1%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Grêmio will have the ball; Internacional will not mind.
56%Possession40%
36%Territory46%
24%From set plays29%
0.05Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Grêmio, 3 for Internacional. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Internacional
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.