Brasileirão Série A · Matchweek 30
RB Bragantino
RBB
Cruzeiro
CRU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Bragantino36%
Draw24%
Cruzeiro40%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.75
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–17.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession54%
48%Territory41%
16%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Bragantino, 3 for Cruzeiro. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
RB Bragantino
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 267 matches, not the full season.